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West Asia Desk · Signal

Strait of Hormuz Sees Contested Transit Recovery with US Officials Claiming 60 Vessels on September 23, Though Independent Monitoring Shows Only One Transit as Recently as September 20

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US officials reported approximately 60 commercial vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on September 23, 2026, carrying about 22 million barrels of crude oil, the highest daily volume since early July, with about 40 of those vessels coordinating with US military forces for protection, according to The Times of Israel on September 24, citing an unnamed US official. Reuters reported it could not independently verify the figures. The claim sits against a starkly different picture from independent monitoring: straits.live reported IMF PortWatch recorded only one commercial transit as recently as September 20 against a prewar baseline of approximately 85 vessel transits per day, and GlobalSecurity.org reported on September 24 that the waterway remained quiet in recent days, with no new attacks on commercial vessels reported since September 21, when a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile injuring two crew and an LPG carrier was hit by debris, both incidents remaining unattributed. The discrepancy between the US official's claim of 60 transits on September 23 and the independent count of one transit on September 20 suggests either a dramatic shift occurred over three days, a difference in counting methodology between US naval tracking and independent hull counts, or both.

The Times of Israel also reported US officials told The National that the US military has reopened the strait to between 60 and 70 percent of prewar oil flow, though GlobalSecurity.org noted the claim is not supported by independent hull counts and sits against 396 vessels lying idle in the watch box as of September 23. Brent crude stood at approximately 104 to 105 dollars per barrel as of September 24-25, according to real-time commodity tracking, down from highs earlier in the crisis but still sharply elevated from prewar levels. The modest uptick in transits reported by US sources, if confirmed, would suggest that US naval protection and Iranian restraint amid ongoing diplomatic efforts at the

Sources

Sources: The Times of Israel liveblog (September 24, 2026), GlobalSecurity.org Iran War Day 209 Update (September 24, 2026), straits.live real-time tracker and daily briefs for September 23 and 25, 2026. Cross-referenced with Congressional Research Service report (August 7, 2026) and JMIC rating documentation.

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