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West Asia Desk

Muscat Steps Outside Washington's Shadow — And Draws Trump's Wrath

President Trump's warning that the United States would "bomb the shit out of" Oman if it "gets in the way" marks one of the sharpest threats Washington has directed at a treaty-adjacent Gulf partner in recent memory — and it was provoked not by hostile action, but by diplomacy. The remark, delivered in a Fox News phone interview with Trey Yingst, came hours after Iran's Foreign Ministry confirmed that Tehran and Muscat had reached an "understanding" on a transit-routing map for the Strait of Hormuz: inbound traffic near Iranian waters, outbound near Oman's, toll-free during an interim period. For nearly half a century, Oman has functioned as the Gulf's designated back channel — the venue where Washington and Tehran could talk without either side conceding legitimacy to the other. That role depended on a specific division of labor: Oman facilitated, but it did not resolve. By negotiating a standalone operational fix to the region's most consequential chokepoint, Muscat has effectively broken that division. It has shown that a workable answer to the Hormuz crisis does not require American sign-off, and that is precisely what appears to have triggered the president's reaction. The threat lands against a backdrop of expired leverage. The 60-day window established in June for a permanent U.S.-Iran settlement lapsed the same day as Trump's remarks, with no comprehensive deal in sight and the American naval blockade on Iranian ports still in place. Washington's strategy has rested on using that blockade to force Tehran toward "surrender" terms — Trump's own word, repeated in the same interview alongside a call for Iran to "put up the white flag." An Oman-Iran arrangement that restores commercial shipping without addressing Iran's core demands — war reparations and the lifting of the blockade — undercuts the coercive logic Washington has built its entire posture around. Notably, this is not an isolated flare-up. Trump warned Oman in May to "behave... or else we'll have to blow them up" over related fee-levying discussions, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has separately floated sanctions exposure for Muscat if it cooperates with Tehran on the corridor. The pattern suggests a deliberate pressure campaign against a longtime ally rather than a one-off outburst — and it raises the question of how much operating room even nominally aligned Gulf states retain when their interests diverge from Washington's preferred endgame.

A quiet mediator's independent deal with Tehran exposes the limits of U.S. leverage in the Gulf.